ADP Update: Romo’s Value Still Declining

Since Terrell Owens went to the the Bills there has been a shakeup in fantasy rankings everywhere.  The exact change in fantasy value for everyone involved has been a big question though.  Fantasy Football Fools recently wrote a good article describing the effect on Romo’s fantasy value.

As the Fools suggest, it’s now clear that Tony Romo has been hit hard by Owens’ depature.  A look at their recent ADP trends shows that Romo is still dropping in the draft boards.

Tony Romo can currently be drafted in the late fifth round (5.08).  At this rate he’s creeping towards the 6th round bargain bin QBs.  He’s already behind Philp Rivers and Aaron Rodgers, two solid quarterbacks with high upside.

Owens signed on March 8, and it looks like his value in the graph has already accounted for the move.  Romo, on the other hand, continues to creep down.

It looks like fantasy drafters are still adjusting to Romo’s new value.  It could be because several questions remain.  Can Roy Williams fill T.O.’s shoes?  How much emphasis will Dallas place on the running game?  And what happens if poor Tony hurts his little pinkie finger again?

A lot of fantasy drafters that go by value based drafting (VBD) tend to pick up quarterbacks in the middle rounds.  If you’re one of them, Romo might be one guy to keep an eye on.

  1. Jacob from Fantasy Football Fools

    Even predicting his decline this season, I didn’t expect Tony Romo’s ADP to drop as fast as it has. Middle rounds, you say? That’s just too tempting for a guy that’s shown the potential to crank out the fantasy points. If Roy Williams gets his act together, even better. That might just play right into my hands in a few leagues.

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  3. Pratik

    When extracting the reasons behind a drop in a persons value lets just not base it on the external news that is going on. Don’t forget to take a close look at the position that person plays. I believe the drop from 3rd round to 5th/6th round for Romo can be attributed to the following two things.

    1. The increase of players drafting on value which then leads to the decline of quarterbacks value in general.


    2. The availability of quality WRs versus quality QBs. If you are in a 12 team draft (I will assume is average) that means you can draft a top 10 QB and still have the 3 worst QB in the league (simply because there are only 12 quarterbacks starting every week). On the flip side of that coin there are 36 wrs starting every week (in a 12 team 3 wr league) which means Owens’ value could’ve dropped from being a top 10 wr to the #15 wr but still be worth the same in fantasy football..

    just something to take into consideration.


  4. Kevin Day Post author

    Pratik, that’s a really good point. QBs are tending to fall in value relative to WRs. There’s a lot of mediocre QBs in the mid to late rounds that are pretty much indistinguishable. Romo seems to be in that pack now.


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